Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 92592.758026 97632.325227 102667.138335 108071.197441 113703.877728 119398.275457 125586.664298
2025-06-01 84938.151379 92708.064957 100683.715459 109471.822439 118872.533132 128616.243569 139468.003848
2025-06-08 78376.359039 87943.499323 97977.824731 109264.952269 121585.292362 134602.856436 149374.382605
2025-06-15 74527.281113 85563.050051 97345.291095 110824.248048 125780.047207 141828.218018 160312.384106
2025-06-22 70969.126969 83143.759988 96346.675613 111675.182803 128926.354444 147685.307970 169569.134553
2025-06-29 67497.322846 80553.340185 94915.138783 111813.017432 131074.720758 152270.291394 177278.559879
2025-07-06 64414.272908 78202.069642 93569.361609 111872.794893 132980.863415 156459.730592 184446.775826
2025-07-13 62769.727425 77385.289105 93867.590682 113713.740719 136837.690997 162803.884962 194034.455876
2025-07-20 61145.174071 76485.675283 93978.128240 115256.610825 140288.877578 168646.789871 203038.130414
2025-07-27 59312.705430 75241.420541 93599.245517 116149.795916 142922.832071 173507.755591 210892.267012
2025-08-03 57186.676176 73549.381412 92605.040967 116236.708425 144543.742593 177143.531784 217292.964481
2025-08-10 55368.663344 72151.748643 91891.797332 116593.912027 146432.209935 181057.439850 224004.012352
2025-08-17 53494.038942 70640.585323 91011.014565 116733.955810 148067.048490 184703.244629 230464.534139
2025-08-24 52326.257106 69959.881837 91105.052112 118031.464078 151085.485271 190004.041056 238930.463318
2025-08-31 50452.795336 68327.525261 89969.427492 117767.884007 152164.753572 192954.045242 244570.397248
2025-09-07 49628.069096 67984.369718 90400.517892 119414.841716 155568.758132 198711.019357 253620.295596
2025-09-14 48502.202628 67212.303504 90257.953841 120316.620245 158034.707692 203324.714290 261297.770439
2025-09-21 47089.216317 66021.122905 89543.788971 120462.534212 159533.260468 206740.896015 267514.219112
2025-09-28 45714.411726 64834.188583 88793.961072 120525.921562 160899.504398 209977.636158 273508.954403
2025-10-05 45253.132209 64826.823493 89538.482582 122481.416628 164644.590529 216166.673409 283179.569484
2025-10-12 44680.957181 64648.732156 90044.660683 124120.029572 167988.019103 221869.687823 292279.576248
2025-10-19 43844.034155 64088.105579 90030.098703 125068.530390 170444.343703 226468.742460 300024.514184
2025-10-26 42688.549611 63063.255697 89377.162122 125160.820900 171785.192350 229659.499706 306011.844661